CA Justice Watch tracks prosecutorial injustice across all 58 California counties. Every fact sourced from public records.
Free Defense Tool

Plea Deal Analyzer

Enter your charges and the DA's plea offer. We will calculate the trial penalty and identify red flags that suggest coercion or weak evidence.

97%
CA cases end in plea deals
2–6x
Longer sentences after trial
3x
Average federal trial penalty

Enter Your Case Details

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Step 1: Your Current Charges

Add each charge the DA has filed against you. Select the Penal Code section and click "Add Charge."

    Step 2: The DA's Plea Offer

    Enter the details of what the DA is offering you in the plea deal.

    Total months of custody or supervised release offered

    Step 3: Your Background

    Understanding the Trial Penalty

    The system is designed to make trial too risky. Here is the data.

    Research

    The Federal Trial Penalty

    3x

    The average federal trial penalty is a sentence 3 times longer than what was offered in a plea deal. A 2018 NACDL study found that after trial, defendants received sentences 64% longer on average.

    California Data

    CA Trial Penalty Range

    2–6x

    Studies in California show defendants who reject plea deals and go to trial receive sentences 2 to 6 times longer than the original plea offer, depending on charge severity and county.

    DA Tactic

    Charge Stacking

    DAs routinely file multiple overlapping charges for a single incident to inflate the maximum possible sentence. This artificially increases the trial penalty and makes the plea deal look like a bargain. The more counts filed, the greater the coercive pressure.

    DA Tactic

    Enhancement Loading

    Prosecutors add sentencing enhancements (GBI, firearm use, gang allegations) that can add 3 to 25 years on top of the base sentence. These are often the first thing "offered" to be dropped in exchange for a plea, suggesting they were never strong charges to begin with.

    Your Rights

    The Right to Trial

    The Sixth Amendment guarantees your right to a jury trial. Yet the trial penalty system effectively punishes people for exercising this right. The Supreme Court has acknowledged that plea bargaining is "not some adjunct to the criminal justice system; it is the criminal justice system."

    Your Rights

    Strike Implications

    If a plea deal requires admitting a strike offense, it can double your sentence on any future felony conviction. A third strike can mean 25 years to life. Always understand the long-term consequences of what you are admitting to.

    Legal Disclaimer

    This tool is for educational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice. Sentencing ranges shown are statutory maximums and do not account for judicial discretion, sentencing guidelines, credits, or case-specific factors. Always consult with a qualified criminal defense attorney before making any decisions about a plea deal. Every case is different, and your attorney can evaluate the strength of the evidence, the likelihood of conviction, and the specific risks you face at trial. Do not rely solely on this tool to make legal decisions.

    Common Questions

    What exactly is a plea deal?

    A plea deal is a permanent criminal conviction entered by agreement — you plead guilty or no-contest to one or more charges in exchange for the DA reducing other charges, recommending a lower sentence, or both. Unlike a trial verdict, you waive your right to jury, to cross-examine witnesses, and to appeal most issues.

    Should I take a plea deal?

    Never without full discovery, full investigation, and a sober comparison to realistic trial outcomes. The DA's offer is always compared to their worst credible trial result, not their charge sheet. If your attorney is pushing a plea without investigating your case, file a Marsden motion. Over 90% of California cases plea — that is not evidence the system is fair, it's evidence the pressure works.

    What are the hidden costs most people don't realize?

    A felony plea affects: immigration (deportation for non-citizens — Padilla v. Kentucky requires your attorney warn you); firearm rights (lifetime ban federally); custody (family-court consequences); employment (professional licenses, background checks); housing (many landlords reject felons); voting (restored after release in CA but still complicated); three-strikes (serious/violent felony becomes a strike). Any of these can outweigh the nominal sentence.